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192 Chestnut St
A- Composite 80.99
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$29,900

192 Chestnut St · Cressona, PA 17929
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,120 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 20 Days on market
Built 1797 1,742 sqft lot $27/sqft · 65% below area ↓ 54% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

HIGHEST & BEST DUE BEFORE 2PM ON MONDAY, MAY 25TH. 1 Bedroom, 1 Bathroom Home in Blue Mountain School District. Cedar siding. Fenced in back yard. Less than 3 hours from NYC & Philly. Close proximity to 183 & 78 for easy travel. Property sold as-is. Cash sales only. Call for more info!

Key facts

  • Cedar siding
  • Fenced in back yard
  • 1,742 sq ft lot

Tags

CEDAR SIDINGFENCED IN BACK YARDCLOSE PROXIMITY TO 183CLOSE PROXIMITY TO 78

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Ownership is fee simple; Year built source: assessor

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached property; Above-grade finished area approximately 1,120 (estimated)
  • Construction: Brick and aluminum siding construction; Permanent foundation; Other structures above and below grade
  • Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; Lot approximately 37 x 52

Interior

  • Bedrooms: One bedroom on the main level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Oil heating; Oil hot water
  • Interior features: Partial basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $30k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $508 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($989 rent vs $30k).
  • Recommended offer: $29k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#343 in PA, #3,022 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Blue Mountain SD (town): math 42% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #126 of 539 in PA (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 169 units permitted in Schuylkill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($207 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Schuylkill County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($29k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1797 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $29,451 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1797 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.31%
Cap rate
29.36%
Cash-on-cash
82.37%
DSCR
4.66
GRM
2.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$86,055
List price
$29,900
Delta
-65.25%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
57 Schuylkill St 0.70mi 2/1.0 (+1) 1,092 (-2%) 10mo $189,900 $174 50
313 Wilder St 0.75mi 2/1.0 (+1) 1,102 (-2%) 21mo $120,000 $109 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
83.6%
Equity multiple
6.82×
Total profit
$48,707
Equity at exit
$26,936
10-year hold
IRR
78.0%
Equity multiple
15.11×
Total profit
$118,093
Equity at exit
$58,089

Cash invested: $8,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17929

Home prices YoY
7.0%
Active inventory
13
Price-to-rent
2.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$989 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$157
Tax est. 1.5%
$37 /mo · $448/yr
Insurance
$12
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$208
Net cashflow
$508

Break-even live

Break-even rent $346
Max offer price $29,900
Occupancy floor 44%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$7,475
Closing costs
$897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-05-07
    listed $39,900 Active 247-char remark
  2. 2020-01-02
    historical
  3. 2019-12-04
    price $30,000
  4. 2019-11-23
    price $35,000
  5. 2019-11-15
    price $45,000
  6. 2019-11-07
    price $50,000
  7. 2019-10-31
    listed $65,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,868
− Mortgage interest
−$1,675
− Property taxes
−$448
− Insurance
−$947
− Repairs & maintenance
−$949
− Management
−$949
− Depreciation
−$870
Taxable income
$6,029
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,447
After-tax cash flow
$4,651/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Blue Mountain SD
NCES district ID
4203870
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
65% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$58,661
Composite
46.42/100
National rank
#2454
State rank
#126 of 539 in PA

Livability — Cressona

Score
77/100
State rank
#343
US rank
#3022

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Cressona, PA
City population
1,369
Population (ZIP)
1,369

Population outlook (Schuylkill County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
137,447 people
By 2030
133,121 · -3.1%
By 2040
124,172 · -9.7%
By 2050
115,611 · -15.9%
By 2075
100,796 · -26.7%
By 2100
86,667 · -36.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Polish 5% Iranian 4%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Schuylkill

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.1) · D 28.5% · R 70.6%
2008→2024 swing
-33.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -42.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.1 2020: R+39.9 2016: R+43.4 2012: R+13.4 2008: R+8.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 13.90%
Current HPI
211.4846
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-54.0% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-21 Price Changed $29,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $39,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-01-02 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-12-04 Price Changed $30,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-11-23 Price Changed $35,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-11-15 Price Changed $45,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-11-07 Price Changed $50,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-10-31 Listed $65,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+8.3%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,386 · +97.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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