192 Chestnut St · Cressona, PA
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 8.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$29,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
HIGHEST & BEST DUE BEFORE 2PM ON MONDAY, MAY 25TH. 1 Bedroom, 1 Bathroom Home in Blue Mountain School District. Cedar siding. Fenced in back yard. Less than 3 hours from NYC & Philly. Close proximity to 183 & 78 for easy travel. Property sold as-is. Cash sales only. Call for more info!
Key facts
- Cedar siding
- Fenced in back yard
- 1,742 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Ownership is fee simple; Year built source: assessor
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached property; Above-grade finished area approximately 1,120 (estimated)
- Construction: Brick and aluminum siding construction; Permanent foundation; Other structures above and below grade
- Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; Lot approximately 37 x 52
Interior
- Bedrooms: One bedroom on the main level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Oil heating; Oil hot water
- Interior features: Partial basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $30k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $508 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($989 rent vs $30k).
- Recommended offer: $29k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#343 in PA, #3,022 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Blue Mountain SD (town): math 42% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #126 of 539 in PA (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 169 units permitted in Schuylkill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($207 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Schuylkill County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($29k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1797 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1797 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 29.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 82.37%
- DSCR
- 4.66
- GRM
- 2.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $86,055
- List price
- $29,900
- Delta
- -65.25%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 57 Schuylkill St | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 1,092 (-2%) | 10mo | $189,900 | $174 | 50 |
| 313 Wilder St | 0.75mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 1,102 (-2%) | 21mo | $120,000 | $109 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 83.6%
- Equity multiple
- 6.82×
- Total profit
- $48,707
- Equity at exit
- $26,936
- IRR
- 78.0%
- Equity multiple
- 15.11×
- Total profit
- $118,093
- Equity at exit
- $58,089
Cash invested: $8,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17929
- Home prices YoY
- 7.0%
- Active inventory
- 13
- Price-to-rent
- 2.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $989 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$157
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$37 /mo · $448/yr
- Insurance
- −$12
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$208
- Net cashflow
- $508
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $7,475
- Closing costs
- $897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-07$39,900 Active 247-char remark
-
2020-01-02historical
-
2019-12-04price $30,000
-
2019-11-23price $35,000
-
2019-11-15price $45,000
-
2019-11-07price $50,000
-
2019-10-31$65,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,868
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,675
- − Property taxes
- −$448
- − Insurance
- −$947
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$949
- − Management
- −$949
- − Depreciation
- −$870
- Taxable income
- $6,029
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,447
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,651/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Blue Mountain SD
- NCES district ID
- 4203870
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 65% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,661
- Composite
- 46.42/100
- National rank
- #2454
- State rank
- #126 of 539 in PA
Livability — Cressona
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #343
- US rank
- #3022
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cressona, PA
- City population
- 1,369
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,369
Population outlook (Schuylkill County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 137,447 people
- By 2030
- 133,121 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 124,172 · -9.7%
- By 2050
- 115,611 · -15.9%
- By 2075
- 100,796 · -26.7%
- By 2100
- 86,667 · -36.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Polish 5% Iranian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Schuylkill
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.1) · D 28.5% · R 70.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -33.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -42.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.1 2020: R+39.9 2016: R+43.4 2012: R+13.4 2008: R+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 13.90%
- Current HPI
- 211.4846
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
-54.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-21 Price Changed $29,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-07 Listed $39,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-01-02 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-12-04 Price Changed $30,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-11-23 Price Changed $35,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-11-15 Price Changed $45,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-11-07 Price Changed $50,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-10-31 Listed $65,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+8.3%/yrLatest (2026): $2,386 · +97.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…