3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
896 sqft ·
Built 2005
· Manufactured
· Active
· 38 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,010/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$315
Tax + insurance
−$100
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$212
Net cashflow
$384/mo
Annual
$4,603/yr
Cap rate
13.96%
Cash-on-cash
27.40%
DSCR
2.22
1% rule
1.68%
Cash to close
$16,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $60k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $384 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $58k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $734 of equity ($415 loan paydown + $319 appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#82 in UT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Emery District (rural): math 43% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #52 of 80 in UT (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Castle Dale School (math 47% / reading 37%, grade F, #287 of 585 statewide, top 52%, 145 students, 48% FRL); Canyon View Middle School (math 32% / reading 27%, grade F, #109 of 138 statewide, top 80%, 200 students, 49% FRL).
Market conditions: 24 active listings in the ZIP; 55 units permitted in Emery County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Emery County population projected at -36% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (0.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-CDJF3KAXPZZA37
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29