None bd · None ba ·
3,988 sqft ·
Built 2025
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 290 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,893/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,570
Tax + insurance
−$817
HOA
−$50
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,028
Net cashflow
$429/mo
Annual
$5,150/yr
Cap rate
7.34%
Cash-on-cash
3.75%
DSCR
1.17
1% rule
1.00%
Cash to close
$137,200
Investor read
This is a 2×3bd/2ba + 2×2bd/2ba units multifamily listed at $490k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $429 ($5k/yr) — positive. Per door: $107/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $489k (0.1% below list).
It's been on market 290 days — a 12% lower offer ($431k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $431k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#941 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
Pharr-San Juan-Alamo ISD (suburban): math 18% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #740 of 826 in TX (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Santos Livas El (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #3,836 of 4,322 statewide, top 91%, 527 students, 90% FRL); Audie Murphy Middle (math 13% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,507 of 1,662 statewide, top 91%, 787 students, 95% FRL); Psja Memorial Early College H S (math 20% / reading 31%, grade F, #1,246 of 1,632 statewide, top 77%, 1,860 students, 94% FRL) — zoned schools average 93% FRL vs 72% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 363 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 290 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-CEH82T7M4AH1V2
· Data 12 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29