4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,629 sqft ·
Built 1890
· MultiFamily
· Under Contract
· 45 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,675/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,229
Tax + insurance
−$1,234
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$982
Net cashflow
$230/mo
Annual
$2,762/yr
Cap rate
8.24%
Cash-on-cash
6.96%
DSCR
1.31
1% rule
1.10%
Cash to close
$119,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $425k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $230 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $425k).
It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($412k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $412k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Stratford School District (urban): math 22% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #122 of 153 in CT (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Stratford Academy - Johnson House (math 14% / reading 28%, grade F, #441 of 553 statewide, top 80%, 557 students, 64% FRL); David Wooster Middle School (math 18% / reading 40%, grade F, #143 of 175 statewide, top 83%, 539 students, 51% FRL); Stratford High School (math 19% / reading 46%, grade F, #125 of 194 statewide, top 66%, 1,127 students, 45% FRL) — zoned schools average 53% FRL vs 31% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo; built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 76 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 852 units permitted in Greater Bridgeport Planning Region in 2024 (698 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $213k; list at $425k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wind risk, 60% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 3.6% in Milford city (balance) — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,675/mo this rent would consume 69% of the median local household income ($82k/yr) (locally 507% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-CGPJSS1C5W28WV
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29