4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,680 sqft ·
Built 1945
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 11 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,269/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$786
Tax + insurance
−$125
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$266
Net cashflow
$92/mo
Annual
$1,099/yr
Cap rate
7.03%
Cash-on-cash
2.62%
DSCR
1.12
1% rule
0.85%
Cash to close
$41,972
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $92 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $127k (15.4% below list).
Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $127k (15.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $7k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (4.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#541 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Twin Rivers Community School District (rural): math 60% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #323 of 330 in IA (top 98%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Twin Rivers Elementary School (math 50% / reading 30%, grade F, #578 of 616 statewide, top 94%, 49 students, 41% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 13 units permitted in Humboldt County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Humboldt County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (4.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-CGY0D0CQQF3QT9
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29