4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,555 sqft ·
Built 2012
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 58 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$6,080/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,720
Tax + insurance
−$1,356
HOA
−$568
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,277
Net cashflow
$-1,840/mo
Annual
$-22,082/yr
Cap rate
3.84%
Cash-on-cash
-8.76%
DSCR
0.61
1% rule
0.68%
Cash to close
$252,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $900k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-22k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $575k (36.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $608k (32.4% below list).
It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($873k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $575k (36.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $12k of equity ($6k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (0.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#192 in FL, #3,070 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, health & safety A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities D, cost of living F.
Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Calusa Elementary School (math 83% / reading 85%, grade A+, #55 of 2,144 statewide, top 3%, 867 students, 17% FRL); Omni Middle School (math 66% / reading 66%, grade A-, #93 of 571 statewide, top 16%, 1,128 students, 29% FRL); Spanish River Community High School (math 64% / reading 74%, grade B, #63 of 667 statewide, top 10%, 2,578 students, 25% FRL) — zoned schools average 24% FRL vs 52% district-wide (28 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 73% at this address vs 50% district-wide (+24 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Palm Beach average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 810 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 71d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $500k; list at $900k implies a 80% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$60k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $6,080/mo this rent would consume 91% of the median local household income ($80k/yr) (locally 24% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 36% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— Significant discoloration and potential water damage
Major: exterior siding
— Severe peeling and discoloration
Major: exterior paint
— Severe peeling and discoloration
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· Data 3 months agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29