1356 Farm Road 2272

Pea Ridge, AR 65772

$72,500B

5 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,744 sqft · Built 1975 · SingleFamily · Pending · 80 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,268/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$380
• Tax + insurance: −$121
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$266
• Net cashflow: $501/mo
• Annual: $6,013/yr
• Cap rate: 14.59%
• Cash-on-cash: 29.62%
• DSCR: 2.32
• 1% rule: 1.75%
• Cash to close: $20,300

Investor read

• This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $72k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $501 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $72k).
• It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $68k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• In year one you build about $3k of equity ($501 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.2% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 67/100 on livability (#98 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
• Southwest R-V (rural): math 19% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #288 of 324 in MO (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Zoned schools: Southwest Elem. (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #879 of 1,115 statewide, top 81%, 347 students, 64% FRL); Southwest Middle (math 18% / reading 28%, grade F, #330 of 391 statewide, top 84%, 219 students, 61% FRL); Southwest High (math 17% / reading 54%, grade F, #314 of 521 statewide, top 61%, 262 students, 56% FRL).
• Market conditions: 57 units permitted in Barry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Barry County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• 3 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (41%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• At projected returns (3.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 14.6% vs local median 3.4% in Pea Ridge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.