1356 Farm Road 2272 · Pea Ridge, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.6/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
$72,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great home or investment property with some sweat equity and updating on this 1 acre of land just north of the Missouri border. There is a green house with metal roof. Cash or in-house bank financing likely due to condition of home. Utilities are not turned on and water heater is not hooked up.
Key facts
- 1 acre lot
- Built 1975
- Listed 80 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $72k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $501 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $72k).
- Recommended offer: $68k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.6% vs local median 3.4% in Pea Ridge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#98 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Southwest R-V (rural): math 19% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #288 of 324 in MO (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Southwest Elem. (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #879 of 1,115 statewide, top 81%, 347 students, 64% FRL); Southwest Middle (math 18% / reading 28%, grade F, #330 of 391 statewide, top 84%, 219 students, 61% FRL); Southwest High (math 17% / reading 54%, grade F, #314 of 521 statewide, top 61%, 262 students, 56% FRL).
- Market conditions: 57 units permitted in Barry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($501 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.2% local appreciation)).
- Barry County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (41%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.75% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 29.62%
- DSCR
- 2.32
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.16% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 35.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.03×
- Total profit
- $41,268
- Equity at exit
- $33,241
- IRR
- 35.7%
- Equity multiple
- 6.00×
- Total profit
- $101,481
- Equity at exit
- $51,734
Cash invested: $20,300 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 65772
- Home prices YoY
- 1.5%
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,268 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$380
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$91 /mo · $1,088/yr
- Insurance
- −$30
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$266
- Net cashflow
- $501
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $551 | -5% $526 | +0% $501 | +5% $476 | +10% $451 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $401 | -5% $451 | +0% $501 | +5% $551 | +10% $601 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $538 | -0.5pp $519 | base $501 | +0.5pp $482 | +1.0pp $463 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,125
- Closing costs
- $2,175
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 9 events
-
2023-03-28status Pending
Show marketing remark (295 chars)
Great home or investment property with some sweat equity and updating on this 1 acre of land just north of the Missouri border. There is a green house with metal roof. Cash or in-house bank financing likely due to condition of home. Utilities are not turned on and water heater is not hooked up.
-
2023-03-28status Pending 295-char remark
Show marketing remark (295 chars)
Great home or investment property with some sweat equity and updating on this 1 acre of land just north of the Missouri border. There is a green house with metal roof. Cash or in-house bank financing likely due to condition of home. Utilities are not turned on and water heater is not hooked up.
-
2023-03-28price $72,500
Show marketing remark (295 chars)
Great home or investment property with some sweat equity and updating on this 1 acre of land just north of the Missouri border. There is a green house with metal roof. Cash or in-house bank financing likely due to condition of home. Utilities are not turned on and water heater is not hooked up.
-
2023-03-17price $72,500 295-char remark
Show marketing remark (295 chars)
Great home or investment property with some sweat equity and updating on this 1 acre of land just north of the Missouri border. There is a green house with metal roof. Cash or in-house bank financing likely due to condition of home. Utilities are not turned on and water heater is not hooked up.
-
2023-01-27price $99,900
Show marketing remark (295 chars)
Great home or investment property with some sweat equity and updating on this 1 acre of land just north of the Missouri border. There is a green house with metal roof. Cash or in-house bank financing likely due to condition of home. Utilities are not turned on and water heater is not hooked up.
-
2023-01-27price $99,900 295-char remark
Show marketing remark (295 chars)
Great home or investment property with some sweat equity and updating on this 1 acre of land just north of the Missouri border. There is a green house with metal roof. Cash or in-house bank financing likely due to condition of home. Utilities are not turned on and water heater is not hooked up.
-
2023-01-07$122,500 Active
-
2023-01-06$122,500 Active 295-char remark
Show marketing remark (295 chars)
Great home or investment property with some sweat equity and updating on this 1 acre of land just north of the Missouri border. There is a green house with metal roof. Cash or in-house bank financing likely due to condition of home. Utilities are not turned on and water heater is not hooked up.
-
2021-08-06$125,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,221
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,061
- − Property taxes
- −$1,088
- − Insurance
- −$362
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,218
- − Management
- −$1,218
- − Depreciation
- −$2,109
- Taxable income
- $5,166
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,240
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,773/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Southwest R-V
- NCES district ID
- 2928710
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,609
- Composite
- 21.05/100
- National rank
- #8449
- State rank
- #288 of 324 in MO
Livability — Pea Ridge
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #98
- US rank
- #10429
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 9,997
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,578
Population outlook (Barry County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 35,207 people
- By 2030
- 34,460 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 32,643 · -7.3%
- By 2050
- 30,688 · -12.8%
- By 2075
- 26,898 · -23.6%
- By 2100
- 22,000 · -37.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Two or more races 14% Hispanic / Latino 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 3% Scottish 2% Romanian 1%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Korean 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Barry
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+63.5) · D 17.8% · R 81.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.5pp toward R · 2008: -35.0pp · 2024: -63.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+63.5 2020: R+60.8 2016: R+59.7 2012: R+44.7 2008: R+35.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.16%
- Current HPI
- 208.6569
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
-42.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2023-03-28 Pending — SOMO
- 2023-03-28 Pending — NWARMLS
- 2023-03-28 Price Changed $72,500 SOMO
- 2023-03-17 Price Changed $72,500 NWARMLS
- 2023-01-27 Price Changed $99,900 SOMO
- 2023-01-27 Price Changed $99,900 NWARMLS
- 2023-01-07 Listed $122,500 SOMO
- 2023-01-06 Listed $122,500 NWARMLS
- 2021-08-06 Listed $125,000 SOMO
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…