4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,614 sqft ·
Built 1890
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 14 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,089/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,573
Tax + insurance
−$413
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$649
Net cashflow
$454/mo
Annual
$5,452/yr
Cap rate
8.11%
Cash-on-cash
6.49%
DSCR
1.29
1% rule
1.03%
Cash to close
$84,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $300k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $454 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $300k).
Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#323 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A-, housing B+, health & safety B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Middle Township Public School District (suburban): math 15% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #372 of 472 in NJ (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Middle Township Elementary #1 (657 students, 56% FRL); Middle Township Elementary #4 (math 14% / reading 47%, grade F, #303 of 431 statewide, top 72%, 594 students, 52% FRL); Middle Township High School (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #327 of 399 statewide, top 82%, 790 students, 36% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 148 active listings in the ZIP; 877 units permitted in Cape May County in 2024 (35 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cape May County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $145k; list at $300k implies a 107% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-CKH4Y9E54QF6N7
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29