2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,250 sqft ·
Built 1600
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 92 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,048/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$577
Tax + insurance
−$183
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$220
Net cashflow
$68/mo
Annual
$817/yr
Cap rate
7.04%
Cash-on-cash
2.65%
DSCR
1.12
1% rule
0.95%
Cash to close
$30,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $68 ($817/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $105k (4.7% below list).
It's been on market 92 days — a 9% lower offer ($100k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $100k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($761 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#958 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
Southern Huntingdon County SD (rural): math 22% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #428 of 539 in PA (top 79%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Rockhill El Sch (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #947 of 1,518 statewide, top 65%, 156 students, 60% FRL); Southern Huntingdon Co Hs/Ms (math 16% / reading 43%, grade F, #349 of 437 statewide, top 81%, 614 students, 41% FRL) — zoned schools average 51% FRL vs 32% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1600 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 70 units permitted in Huntingdon County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Huntingdon County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 8→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 92 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1600 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29