247 Valley St · Rockhill, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.7/30.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- ARV discount +4.8/15.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Home on Valley St Rockhill. 2-3 Bedrooms. Main floor laundry and 3/4 bath for convenience. Living room is being used as a bedroom. Kitchen has lots of cabinet storage. The Great Room addition adds more living space with a porch for your summer enjoyment. Full bath upstairs. Fenced yard for any pets. Garage in back for more storage. Newer roof and windows.
Key facts
- Fenced yard
- Newer roof
- Main floor laundry
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $68 ($817/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $105k (4.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $100k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#958 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, schools D-, amenities F.
- Southern Huntingdon County SD (rural): math 22% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #428 of 539 in PA (top 79%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 70 units permitted in Huntingdon County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($761 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Huntingdon County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 92 days — a 9% lower offer ($100k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1600 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 8→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 92 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1600 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.65%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $103,750
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 464 Cherry | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 | 1,200 (-4%) | 12mo | $100,000 | $83 | 70 |
| 421 Cromwell St | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,364 (+9%) | 24mo | $94,900 | $70 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.57×
- Total profit
- $17,601
- Equity at exit
- $49,461
- IRR
- 12.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.84×
- Total profit
- $56,623
- Equity at exit
- $76,225
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17249
- Active inventory
- 2
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,048 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$138 /mo · $1,650/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$220
- Net cashflow
- $68
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $144 | -5% $106 | +0% $68 | +5% $30 | +10% $-8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-15 | -5% $27 | +0% $68 | +5% $109 | +10% $151 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $123 | -0.5pp $96 | base $68 | +0.5pp $40 | +1.0pp $11 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-04-18status Pending 357-char remark
Show marketing remark (357 chars)
Home on Valley St Rockhill. 2-3 Bedrooms. Main floor laundry and 3/4 bath for convenience. Living room is being used as a bedroom. Kitchen has lots of cabinet storage. The Great Room addition adds more living space with a porch for your summer enjoyment. Full bath upstairs. Fenced yard for any pets. Garage in back for more storage. Newer roof and windows.
-
2026-04-18status Pending
Show marketing remark (357 chars)
Home on Valley St Rockhill. 2-3 Bedrooms. Main floor laundry and 3/4 bath for convenience. Living room is being used as a bedroom. Kitchen has lots of cabinet storage. The Great Room addition adds more living space with a porch for your summer enjoyment. Full bath upstairs. Fenced yard for any pets. Garage in back for more storage. Newer roof and windows.
-
2026-03-24price $110,000 357-char remark
Show marketing remark (357 chars)
Home on Valley St Rockhill. 2-3 Bedrooms. Main floor laundry and 3/4 bath for convenience. Living room is being used as a bedroom. Kitchen has lots of cabinet storage. The Great Room addition adds more living space with a porch for your summer enjoyment. Full bath upstairs. Fenced yard for any pets. Garage in back for more storage. Newer roof and windows.
-
2026-03-03price $110,000
-
2026-01-16$115,000 Active 357-char remark
Show marketing remark (357 chars)
Home on Valley St Rockhill. 2-3 Bedrooms. Main floor laundry and 3/4 bath for convenience. Living room is being used as a bedroom. Kitchen has lots of cabinet storage. The Great Room addition adds more living space with a porch for your summer enjoyment. Full bath upstairs. Fenced yard for any pets. Garage in back for more storage. Newer roof and windows.
-
2026-01-16$115,000 Active
Show marketing remark (357 chars)
Home on Valley St Rockhill. 2-3 Bedrooms. Main floor laundry and 3/4 bath for convenience. Living room is being used as a bedroom. Kitchen has lots of cabinet storage. The Great Room addition adds more living space with a porch for your summer enjoyment. Full bath upstairs. Fenced yard for any pets. Garage in back for more storage. Newer roof and windows.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥98°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,581
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$1,650
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,006
- − Management
- −$1,006
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable loss
- −$994
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$239
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,055/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Southern Huntingdon County SD
- NCES district ID
- 4222320
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,193
- Composite
- 28.55/100
- National rank
- #6730
- State rank
- #428 of 539 in PA
Livability — Rockhill
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #958
- US rank
- #10508
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rockhill, PA
- City population
- 380
- Population (ZIP)
- 380
Population outlook (Huntingdon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 44,212 people
- By 2030
- 43,057 · -2.6%
- By 2040
- 40,537 · -8.3%
- By 2050
- 37,844 · -14.4%
- By 2075
- 31,411 · -29.0%
- By 2100
- 23,907 · -45.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Black 4%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 1% Iranian 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Huntingdon
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+52.9) · D 23.2% · R 76.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.4pp toward R · 2008: -27.5pp · 2024: -52.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+52.9 2020: R+51.0 2016: R+50.7 2012: R+37.4 2008: R+27.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
-4.3% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-18 Pending — HCBR
- 2026-04-18 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $110,000 HCBR
- 2026-03-03 Price Changed $110,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-01-16 Listed $115,000 HCBR
- 2026-01-16 Listed $115,000 BRIGHT MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…