3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,900 sqft ·
Built 1996
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 11 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,913/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,206
Tax + insurance
−$277
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$402
Net cashflow
$27/mo
Annual
$330/yr
Cap rate
6.44%
Cash-on-cash
0.51%
DSCR
1.02
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$64,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $230k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $27 ($330/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $191k (16.8% below list).
Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $191k (16.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#404 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety D+, employment D, amenities F.
Princeton Public School District (town): math 41% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #141 of 301 in MN (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Princeton Intermediate School (math 46% / reading 48%, grade D-, #492 of 857 statewide, top 61%, 746 students, 41% FRL); Princeton Middle School (math 36% / reading 55%, grade D+, #106 of 258 statewide, top 43%, 732 students, 38% FRL); Princeton High School (math 47% / reading 62%, grade C-, #87 of 471 statewide, top 22%, 979 students, 33% FRL) — zoned schools average 37% FRL vs 22% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 118 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 163 units permitted in Mille Lacs County in 2024 (66 in 5+ unit buildings).
Mille Lacs County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $61k; list at $230k implies a 277% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 2.7% in Princeton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-CKSJQ730VPJ2F4
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29