2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,060 sqft ·
Built 2007
· Condo
· Active
· 418 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,183/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$839
Tax + insurance
−$302
HOA
−$813
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$458
Net cashflow
$-229/mo
Annual
$-2,749/yr
Cap rate
4.57%
Cash-on-cash
-6.14%
DSCR
0.73
1% rule
1.36%
Cash to close
$44,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $160k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-229 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $120k (25.3% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
It's been on market 418 days — a 12% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $120k (25.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $475 appreciation (0.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#222 in FL, #3,277 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment A; Watch: commute D, amenities F.
Orange (suburban): math 46% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #43 of 73 in FL (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Sunshine Elementary (math 41% / reading 43%, grade F, #1,403 of 2,144 statewide, top 67%, 949 students, 41% FRL); Freedom Middle (math 43% / reading 43%, grade D-, #331 of 571 statewide, top 59%, 1,159 students, 44% FRL); Lake Buena Vista High School (1,714 students, 49% FRL).
Watch-outs: HOA is 37% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.2%/yr); 281 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,053 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,133 in 5+ unit buildings).
Orange County population projected at +52% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Cap rate 4.6% vs local median 3.0% in Hunters Creek — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 418 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29