3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,260 sqft ·
Built 1974
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 2 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,010/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$708
Tax + insurance
−$188
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$212
Net cashflow
$-98/mo
Annual
$-1,177/yr
Cap rate
5.42%
Cash-on-cash
-3.11%
DSCR
0.86
1% rule
0.75%
Cash to close
$37,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-98 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $118k (12.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $101k (25.2% below list).
Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $101k (25.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (3.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#185 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, schools D+, amenities F.
Girard (town): math 32% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #44 of 169 in KS (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 65 units permitted in Crawford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Current owner paid $39k; list at $135k implies a 246% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-CNACECANDQMM0X
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29