5 bd · 4.0 ba ·
2,663 sqft ·
Built 1976
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 233 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,556/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,389
Tax + insurance
−$928
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$537
Net cashflow
$-298/mo
Annual
$-3,571/yr
Cap rate
6.88%
Cash-on-cash
2.09%
DSCR
1.09
1% rule
0.96%
Cash to close
$74,172
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2.0-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $265k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-298 ($-4k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-149/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $212k (19.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $256k (3.5% below list).
It's been on market 233 days — a 12% lower offer ($233k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $212k (19.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#37 in TX, #1,749 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
Lubbock ISD (urban): math 36% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #481 of 826 in TX (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Williams El (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,995 of 4,322 statewide, top 50%, 307 students, 76% FRL); Coronado H S (math 34% / reading 38%, grade F, #930 of 1,632 statewide, top 57%, 1,960 students, 66% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 187 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,219 units permitted in Lubbock County in 2024 (252 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lubbock County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 233 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
CashFlowRE · CFR-CNWCSC480PTK43
· Data 11 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29