3 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,112 sqft ·
Built 1984
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 113 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,358/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$257
Tax + insurance
−$82
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$285
Net cashflow
$734/mo
Annual
$8,808/yr
Cap rate
24.27%
Cash-on-cash
64.20%
DSCR
3.86
1% rule
2.77%
Cash to close
$13,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $49k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $734 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $49k).
It's been on market 113 days — a 9% lower offer ($45k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $45k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($339 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Sanders Unified District (4156) (rural): math 3% / reading 9% proficiency, ranked #243 of 249 in AZ (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 99 units permitted in Apache County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Apache County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 113 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— Exposed structural components
Major: exterior
— Structural damage, debris
Major: flooring
— Exposed subfloor
Major: interior walls
— Exposed framing
Major: bathrooms
— Exposed plumbing and fixtures
Major: systems
— Exposed HVAC and electrical components
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· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29