120 bd · 144.0 ba ·
7,149 sqft ·
Built 1963
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 89 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$14,186/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$7,861
Tax + insurance
−$1,084
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,979
Net cashflow
$2,262/mo
Annual
$27,145/yr
Cap rate
8.10%
Cash-on-cash
6.47%
DSCR
1.29
1% rule
0.95%
Cash to close
$419,720
Investor read
This is a 10×1bd/1.0ba + 2×?bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $1.50M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($27k/yr) — positive. Per door: $189/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.42M (5.4% below list).
It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($1.41M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.41M (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $10k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $45k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#214 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D+, employment F.
El Centro Elementary (urban): math 33% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #803 of 1,400 in CA (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Lincoln Elementary (421 students, 86% FRL); Kennedy Middle (459 students, 88% FRL); Central Union High (math 21% / reading 63%, grade F, #472 of 1,170 statewide, top 42%, 1,957 students, 77% FRL).
Market conditions: 122 active listings in the ZIP; 271 units permitted in Imperial County in 2024 (112 in 5+ unit buildings).
Imperial County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $850k; list at $1.50M implies a 76% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 3.1% in El Centro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $14,186/mo this rent would consume 309% of the median local household income ($55k/yr) (locally 1683% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-CRKNZ38R3234DR
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29