3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,876 sqft ·
Built 1930
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 26 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$21,910/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$6,267
Tax + insurance
−$2,047
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$4,601
Net cashflow
$8,995/mo
Annual
$107,943/yr
Cap rate
15.38%
Cash-on-cash
32.46%
DSCR
2.44
1% rule
1.83%
Cash to close
$334,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $1.20M. Condition is rated average.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $9k ($108k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($22k rent vs $1.20M).
It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($1.18M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.18M (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $56k of equity ($8k loan paydown + $48k appreciation (4.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#600 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, health & safety B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Quogue Union Free School District (suburban): math 70% / reading 80% proficiency, ranked #125 of 755 in NY (top 17%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 4% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Quogue Elementary School (math 87% / reading 92%, grade A+, #45 of 2,108 statewide, top 3%, 84 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools at 0% FRL track the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 90% at this address vs 75% district-wide (+14 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Quogue Union Free School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,366 units permitted in Suffolk County in 2024 (216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Suffolk County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (4.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $335k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$91k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Moderate: Kitchen cabinets
— Knotty pine cabinets show wear
Minor: Kitchen flooring
— Tiled floor in good condition
CashFlowRE · CFR-CRWVZZCZD2Z8FQ
· Data 16 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29