CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
71 Montauk Hwy
B+ Composite 79.72
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.0/10.0
  • Schools +6.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0

$1,195,000

71 Montauk Hwy · Quogue, NY 11959
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,876 sqft · SingleFamily · 26 Days on market
Built 1930 Average condition 0.59 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Nestled among mature trees on a lush, private lot in the coveted village of Quogue, this charming two-story colonial offers classic Hamptons character with room to make it your own. The gray-shingled exterior with its iconic blue front door, manicured shrubs, and sprawling green lawn creates an inviting first impression, while a detached garage and generous paved driveway provide ample parking. Totaling 1,876 square feet across two floors, the home features a warm and welcoming interior with wood-tread stairs, built-in bookshelves, and a cozy living room that flows naturally into a family room and separate dining area. The kitchen is well-appointed with knotty pine cabinetry, a stainless st

Key facts

  • 0.59 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Pool

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage; No carport
  • Utilities: Electric service by PSEG; Cesspool sewer; Water connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence
  • Construction: Wood siding
  • Exterior features: Front and back yard; Garden; Landscaped grounds; Level and partially wooded lot; Paved surfaces; Private vinyl pool; Not waterfront

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas oven; Oven; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 9
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Vinyl; Wood
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: First-floor full bathroom; Breakfast bar; Formal dining room; Double-pane windows; Dormer attic; No basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $1.20M. Condition is rated average.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $9k ($108k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($22k rent vs $1.20M).
  • Recommended offer: $1.18M (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#600 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, health & safety B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
  • Quogue Union Free School District (suburban): math 70% / reading 80% proficiency, ranked #125 of 755 in NY (top 17%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 4% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Quogue Elementary School (math 87% / reading 92%, grade A+, #45 of 2,108 statewide, top 3%, 84 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools at 0% FRL track the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 90% at this address vs 75% district-wide (+14 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Quogue Union Free School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,366 units permitted in Suffolk County in 2024 (216 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $56k of equity ($8k loan paydown + $48k appreciation (4.0% local appreciation)).
  • Suffolk County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (4.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $335k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$91k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($1.18M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $1,177,075 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.83%
Cap rate
15.38%
Cash-on-cash
32.46%
DSCR
2.44
GRM
4.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$2,650,788
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
58 Old Depot 0.16mi 3/2.5 2,156 (+15%) 3mo $1,325,000 $615 63
4 Quantuck Ln 0.62mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,876 (0%) 8mo $2,650,000 $1,413 55
4 Barker 0.63mi 3/2.5 2,000 (+7%) 7mo $2,750,000 $1,375 52
7 Shinnecock Rd 0.52mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,117 (+13%) 17mo $5,750,000 $2,716 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.01% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
39.7%
Equity multiple
3.34×
Total profit
$782,507
Equity at exit
$606,765
10-year hold
IRR
38.7%
Equity multiple
6.70×
Total profit
$1,906,187
Equity at exit
$993,119

Cash invested: $334,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 11959

Home prices YoY
1.1%
Active inventory
37
Price-to-rent
4.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$21,910 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$6,267
Tax est. 1.5%
$1,494 /mo · $17,925/yr
Insurance
$498
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$4,601
Net cashflow
$8,995

Break-even live

Break-even rent $10,524
Max offer price $1,195,000
Occupancy floor 54%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $9,821 -5% $9,408 +0% $8,995 +5% $8,582 +10% $8,169
Rent -10% $7,264 -5% $8,130 +0% $8,995 +5% $9,861 +10% $10,726
Rate -1.0pp $9,597 -0.5pp $9,299 base $8,995 +0.5pp $8,686 +1.0pp $8,371

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$298,750
Closing costs
$35,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
14 Park Cir Quogue, NY 3.0 2.0 1300 $20,000 $15.38 26d 1 0.84mi
24 Quogue Riverhead Rd Quogue, NY 3.0 3.0 2054 $15,000 $7.30 26d 1 0.91mi
1 Watersedge Dr Quogue, NY 2.0 2.5 1835 $25,000 $13.62 20d 1 1.24mi
2941 Quogue Riverhead Rd East Quogue, NY 3.0 2.5 2044 $80,000 $39.14 26d 1 1.28mi
20 Dune Ln Westhampton Beach, NY 4.0 3.0 2500 $35,000 $14.00 26d 1 1.33mi
9 Ocame Ave Westhampton Beach, NY 4.0 3.0 1823 $20,000 $10.97 45d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $1,195,000 Active 26 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $1,195,000 Active 23 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $1,195,000 Active 22 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $1,195,000 Active 21 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $1,195,000 Active 20 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $1,195,000 Active 18 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $1,195,000 Active 17 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $1,195,000 Active 14 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $1,195,000 Active 13 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $1,195,000 Active 12 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $1,195,000 Active 9 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $1,195,000 Active 8 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $1,195,000 Active 7 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $1,195,000 Active 6 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $1,195,000 Active 5 DOM
  16. 2026-05-27
    listed $1,195,000 Active
  17. 2026-05-26
    historical $1,195,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$262,924
− Mortgage interest
−$66,939
− Property taxes
−$17,925
− Insurance
−$6,642
− Repairs & maintenance
−$21,034
− Management
−$21,034
− Depreciation
−$34,764
Taxable income
$94,588
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$22,701
After-tax cash flow
$85,242/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Average 55/100 Moderate rehab

A charming two-story colonial with moderate repairs needed, particularly in the kitchen and interior walls. Upgrades like fresh paint and updated cabinets can significantly enhance its value.

Repairs flagged

  • Moderate Kitchen cabinets — Knotty pine cabinets show wear
  • Minor Kitchen flooring — Tiled floor in good condition

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Resale Replace kitchen cabinets — Modernizing the kitchen with updated cabinets improves functionality and value
  • Both Landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and adds value for both resale and rental

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Kitchen cabinets · Knotty pine cabinets show wear Moderate $3,000–15,000
Kitchen flooring · Tiled floor in good condition Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items $3,500–18,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Resale Replace kitchen cabinets — Modernizing the kitchen with updated cabinets improves functionality and value
  • Both Landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and adds value for both resale and rental

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Quogue Union Free School District
NCES district ID
3624060
Math proficiency
70% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
80% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$66,746
Composite
66.09/100
National rank
#960
State rank
#125 of 755 in NY

Livability — Quogue

Score
67/100
State rank
#600
US rank
#10895

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing B- Health & safety B+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Quogue, NY
City population
576
Population (ZIP)
576

Population outlook (Suffolk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,505,262 people
By 2030
1,498,318 · -0.5%
By 2040
1,471,101 · -2.3%
By 2050
1,424,848 · -5.3%
By 2075
1,337,157 · -11.2%
By 2100
1,217,720 · -19.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Two or more races 23% Hispanic / Latino 23% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Common ancestry
Italian 21% Portuguese 7% Scotch-Irish 4%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada
Languages at home
83% English-only · Spanish 17%

Political lean MEDSL · Suffolk

2024 margin
Lean R (+10.0) · D 45.0% · R 55.0%
2008→2024 swing
-16.0pp toward R · 2008: 6.0pp · 2024: -10.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+10.0 2020: R+0.0 2016: R+8.2 2012: D+2.9 2008: D+6.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.01%
Current HPI
364.8746
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $1,195,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-26 Coming Soon $1,195,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…