71 Montauk Hwy · Quogue, NY
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +7.0/10.0
- Schools +6.6/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
$1,195,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Nestled among mature trees on a lush, private lot in the coveted village of Quogue, this charming two-story colonial offers classic Hamptons character with room to make it your own. The gray-shingled exterior with its iconic blue front door, manicured shrubs, and sprawling green lawn creates an inviting first impression, while a detached garage and generous paved driveway provide ample parking. Totaling 1,876 square feet across two floors, the home features a warm and welcoming interior with wood-tread stairs, built-in bookshelves, and a cozy living room that flows naturally into a family room and separate dining area. The kitchen is well-appointed with knotty pine cabinetry, a stainless st
Key facts
- 0.59 acre lot
- Garage
- Pool
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 1-car garage; No carport
- Utilities: Electric service by PSEG; Cesspool sewer; Water connected
- Home design: Single-family residence
- Construction: Wood siding
- Exterior features: Front and back yard; Garden; Landscaped grounds; Level and partially wooded lot; Paved surfaces; Private vinyl pool; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas oven; Oven; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 9
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Vinyl; Wood
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: First-floor full bathroom; Breakfast bar; Formal dining room; Double-pane windows; Dormer attic; No basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $1.20M. Condition is rated average.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $9k ($108k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($22k rent vs $1.20M).
- Recommended offer: $1.18M (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#600 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, health & safety B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Quogue Union Free School District (suburban): math 70% / reading 80% proficiency, ranked #125 of 755 in NY (top 17%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 4% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Quogue Elementary School (math 87% / reading 92%, grade A+, #45 of 2,108 statewide, top 3%, 84 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools at 0% FRL track the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 90% at this address vs 75% district-wide (+14 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Quogue Union Free School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,366 units permitted in Suffolk County in 2024 (216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $56k of equity ($8k loan paydown + $48k appreciation (4.0% local appreciation)).
- Suffolk County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (4.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $335k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$91k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($1.18M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.83% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 32.46%
- DSCR
- 2.44
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $2,650,788
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 58 Old Depot | 0.16mi | 3/2.5 | 2,156 (+15%) | 3mo | $1,325,000 | $615 | 63 |
| 4 Quantuck Ln | 0.62mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,876 (0%) | 8mo | $2,650,000 | $1,413 | 55 |
| 4 Barker | 0.63mi | 3/2.5 | 2,000 (+7%) | 7mo | $2,750,000 | $1,375 | 52 |
| 7 Shinnecock Rd | 0.52mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,117 (+13%) | 17mo | $5,750,000 | $2,716 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.01% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 39.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.34×
- Total profit
- $782,507
- Equity at exit
- $606,765
- IRR
- 38.7%
- Equity multiple
- 6.70×
- Total profit
- $1,906,187
- Equity at exit
- $993,119
Cash invested: $334,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 11959
- Home prices YoY
- 1.1%
- Active inventory
- 37
- Price-to-rent
- 4.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $21,910 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$6,267
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$1,494 /mo · $17,925/yr
- Insurance
- −$498
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$4,601
- Net cashflow
- $8,995
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $9,821 | -5% $9,408 | +0% $8,995 | +5% $8,582 | +10% $8,169 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $7,264 | -5% $8,130 | +0% $8,995 | +5% $9,861 | +10% $10,726 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $9,597 | -0.5pp $9,299 | base $8,995 | +0.5pp $8,686 | +1.0pp $8,371 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $298,750
- Closing costs
- $35,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Park Cir Quogue, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $20,000 | $15.38 | 26d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 24 Quogue Riverhead Rd Quogue, NY | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2054 | $15,000 | $7.30 | 26d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1 Watersedge Dr Quogue, NY | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1835 | $25,000 | $13.62 | 20d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 2941 Quogue Riverhead Rd East Quogue, NY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2044 | $80,000 | $39.14 | 26d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 20 Dune Ln Westhampton Beach, NY | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2500 | $35,000 | $14.00 | 26d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 9 Ocame Ave Westhampton Beach, NY | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1823 | $20,000 | $10.97 | 45d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $1,195,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $1,195,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $1,195,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $1,195,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $1,195,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $1,195,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $1,195,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $1,195,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $1,195,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $1,195,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $1,195,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $1,195,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $1,195,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $1,195,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $1,195,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-27$1,195,000 Active
-
2026-05-26historical $1,195,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $262,924
- − Mortgage interest
- −$66,939
- − Property taxes
- −$17,925
- − Insurance
- −$6,642
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$21,034
- − Management
- −$21,034
- − Depreciation
- −$34,764
- Taxable income
- $94,588
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$22,701
- After-tax cash flow
- $85,242/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
A charming two-story colonial with moderate repairs needed, particularly in the kitchen and interior walls. Upgrades like fresh paint and updated cabinets can significantly enhance its value.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate Kitchen cabinets — Knotty pine cabinets show wear
- Minor Kitchen flooring — Tiled floor in good condition
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Resale Replace kitchen cabinets — Modernizing the kitchen with updated cabinets improves functionality and value
- Both Landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and adds value for both resale and rental
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Kitchen cabinets · Knotty pine cabinets show wear | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Kitchen flooring · Tiled floor in good condition | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $3,500–18,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Resale Replace kitchen cabinets — Modernizing the kitchen with updated cabinets improves functionality and value ↑
- Both Landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and adds value for both resale and rental ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Quogue Union Free School District
- NCES district ID
- 3624060
- Math proficiency
- 70% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 80% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,746
- Composite
- 66.09/100
- National rank
- #960
- State rank
- #125 of 755 in NY
Livability — Quogue
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #600
- US rank
- #10895
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Quogue, NY
- City population
- 576
- Population (ZIP)
- 576
Population outlook (Suffolk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,505,262 people
- By 2030
- 1,498,318 · -0.5%
- By 2040
- 1,471,101 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 1,424,848 · -5.3%
- By 2075
- 1,337,157 · -11.2%
- By 2100
- 1,217,720 · -19.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Two or more races 23% Hispanic / Latino 23% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Common ancestry
- Italian 21% Portuguese 7% Scotch-Irish 4%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 17%
Political lean MEDSL · Suffolk
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+10.0) · D 45.0% · R 55.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.0pp toward R · 2008: 6.0pp · 2024: -10.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+10.0 2020: R+0.0 2016: R+8.2 2012: D+2.9 2008: D+6.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.01%
- Current HPI
- 364.8746
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Listed $1,195,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-26 Coming Soon $1,195,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…