3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,456 sqft ·
Built 2021
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 61 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,674/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$656
Tax + insurance
−$208
HOA
−$595
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$352
Net cashflow
$-136/mo
Annual
$-1,633/yr
Cap rate
4.99%
Cash-on-cash
-4.67%
DSCR
0.79
1% rule
1.34%
Cash to close
$35,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $125k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-136 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $105k (15.8% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $105k (15.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#405 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Allendale Public Schools (suburban): math 47% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #79 of 540 in MI (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Evergreen Elementary (math 57% / reading 62%, grade B-, #200 of 1,397 statewide, top 16%, 547 students, 38% FRL); Allendale Middle School (math 44% / reading 59%, grade C, #102 of 493 statewide, top 21%, 554 students, 32% FRL); Allendale High School (math 42% / reading 72%, grade C, #99 of 713 statewide, top 14%, 775 students, 27% FRL).
Watch-outs: HOA is 36% of rent.
Market conditions: 167 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,237 units permitted in Ottawa County in 2024 (443 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ottawa County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
6 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 2.1% in Allendale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— Significant water damage indicated by dark patches
Major: exterior siding
— Severe wear and tear
Major: exterior flooring
— Cracked and uneven
Major: HVAC/mechanicals
— No visible signs, but likely outdated
CashFlowRE · CFR-CRZRC5DEH2W8PK
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29