2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
980 sqft ·
Built 2009
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 12 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,090/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,337
Tax + insurance
−$222
HOA
−$140
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$439
Net cashflow
$-49/mo
Annual
$-582/yr
Cap rate
6.06%
Cash-on-cash
-0.82%
DSCR
0.96
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$71,400
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath multifamily listed at $255k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-49 ($-582/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $246k (3.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $209k (18.0% below list).
Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $209k (18.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 85/100 on livability (#1 in ND, #605 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
Fargo 1 (urban): math 41% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #28 of 53 in ND (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Bennett Elementary School (math 64% / reading 59%, grade B, #18 of 236 statewide, top 7%, 666 students, 21% FRL); Discovery Middle School (math 49% / reading 55%, grade C+, #3 of 35 statewide, top 12%, 975 students, 26% FRL); Fargo Davies High School (math 34% / reading 45%, grade F, #57 of 144 statewide, top 48%, 1,363 students, 19% FRL) — zoned schools at 22% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 369 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,218 units permitted in Cass County in 2024 (410 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cass County population projected at +69% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $175k; 46% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 2.5% in Fargo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-CS760BBW6X5WES
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29