24 Wisteria Dr

Remsenburg-Speonk, NY 11960

$1,450,000A

6 bd · 3.0 ba · 3,857 sqft · Built 2010 · SingleFamily · Pending · 71 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $26,040/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$7,604
• Tax + insurance: −$1,549
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$5,468
• Net cashflow: $11,418/mo
• Annual: $137,020/yr
• Cap rate: 15.74%
• Cash-on-cash: 33.75%
• DSCR: 2.50
• 1% rule: 1.80%
• Cash to close: $406,000

Investor read

• This is a 6-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $1.45M.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $11k ($137k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($26k rent vs $1.45M).
• It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($1.36M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $1.36M (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• In year one you build about $123k of equity ($10k loan paydown + $113k appreciation (7.8% local appreciation)).
• Location reads: area grade A — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• Remsenburg-Speonk Union Free School District (suburban): math 60% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #389 of 755 in NY (top 52%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
• Market conditions: 40 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,366 units permitted in Suffolk County in 2024 (216 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Suffolk County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• 5 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $675k; list at $1.45M implies a 115% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• At projected returns (7.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $406k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$197k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 15.7% vs local median 7.2% in Remsenburg-Speonk — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.