2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,324 sqft ·
Built 1979
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 47 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,899/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,044
Tax + insurance
−$493
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$399
Net cashflow
$-36/mo
Annual
$-437/yr
Cap rate
6.47%
Cash-on-cash
0.65%
DSCR
1.03
1% rule
0.95%
Cash to close
$55,720
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $199k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-36 ($-437/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $193k (3.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $190k (4.6% below list).
It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($193k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $190k (4.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#655 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Charlotte (suburban): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #22 of 73 in FL (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Kingsway Elementary School (math 55% / reading 53%, grade C, #936 of 2,144 statewide, top 44%, 596 students, 58% FRL); Charlotte High School (math 44% / reading 46%, grade D-, #228 of 667 statewide, top 35%, 1,994 students, 41% FRL) — zoned schools at 49% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: Rents falling (-4.0%/yr); 600 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,585 units permitted in Charlotte County in 2024 (703 in 5+ unit buildings).
Charlotte County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $31k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $120k; list at $199k implies a 66% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 4.4% in Port Charlotte — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 5% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-CTY8X5ANW86SWF
· Data 5 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29