4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,858 sqft ·
Built 1850
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 210 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,573/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$551
Tax + insurance
−$328
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$330
Net cashflow
$364/mo
Annual
$4,368/yr
Cap rate
10.45%
Cash-on-cash
14.86%
DSCR
1.66
1% rule
1.50%
Cash to close
$29,400
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $364 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $105k).
It's been on market 210 days — a 12% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $92k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($726 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#371 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Hoosick Falls Central School District (rural): math 52% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #469 of 755 in NY (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price; built in 1850 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 49 active listings in the ZIP; 405 units permitted in Rensselaer County in 2024 (224 in 5+ unit buildings).
Rensselaer County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (1.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 4.7% in Hoosick Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 210 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1850 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-CV2Z9Y05533VYH
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29