3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,120 sqft ·
Built 2004
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 226 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,544/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$876
Tax + insurance
−$278
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$324
Net cashflow
$66/mo
Annual
$788/yr
Cap rate
6.76%
Cash-on-cash
1.69%
DSCR
1.07
1% rule
0.92%
Cash to close
$46,760
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $167k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $66 ($788/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $154k (7.5% below list).
It's been on market 226 days — a 12% lower offer ($147k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $147k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $15k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $14k appreciation (8.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#1,181 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, health & safety D, schools F.
Conneaut SD (rural): math 38% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #241 of 539 in PA (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 53 active listings in the ZIP; 83 units permitted in Crawford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Crawford County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (8.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $47k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 226 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29