1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
686 sqft ·
Built 1909
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 25 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$933/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$393
Tax + insurance
−$52
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$196
Net cashflow
$291/mo
Annual
$3,493/yr
Cap rate
10.95%
Cash-on-cash
16.63%
DSCR
1.74
1% rule
1.24%
Cash to close
$21,000
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $291 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($933 rent vs $75k).
It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $74k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#416 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment D-.
Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation (urban): math 36% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #153 of 301 in IN (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Delaware Elementary School (math 22% / reading 16%, grade F, #829 of 994 statewide, top 84%, 338 students, 90% FRL); North Junior High School (math 44% / reading 57%, grade C, #43 of 330 statewide, top 14%, 929 students, 42% FRL); North High School (math 57% / reading 74%, grade B, #29 of 369 statewide, top 8%, 1,674 students, 35% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1909 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 229 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 508 units permitted in Vanderburgh County in 2024 (32 in 5+ unit buildings).
4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 4.6% in Evansville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1909 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-CW5CEBA5M3Y0AQ
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29