3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,248 sqft ·
Built 1896
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 122 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$890/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$267
Tax + insurance
−$130
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$187
Net cashflow
$306/mo
Annual
$3,671/yr
Cap rate
13.49%
Cash-on-cash
25.71%
DSCR
2.14
1% rule
1.74%
Cash to close
$14,280
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $51k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $306 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($890 rent vs $51k).
It's been on market 122 days — a 12% lower offer ($45k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $45k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $353 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#348 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F, amenities D-.
Fort Dodge Community School District (town): math 44% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #285 of 289 in IA (top 99%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Duncombe Elementary School (math 52% / reading 42%, grade D-, #530 of 616 statewide, top 88%, 461 students, 79% FRL); Fort Dodge Middle School (math 45% / reading 57%, grade C, #210 of 246 statewide, top 87%, 759 students, 62% FRL); Fort Dodge High School (math 39% / reading 53%, grade D-, #322 of 336 statewide, top 96%, 1,072 students, 54% FRL).
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; built in 1896 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 36 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 25 units permitted in Webster County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Webster County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 122 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1896 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-CWBJE5F8SKNA73
· Data 13 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29