CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
1902 1st Ave N
B+ Composite 77.6
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$51,000

1902 1st Ave N · Fort Dodge, IA 50501
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,248 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 122 Days on market
Built 1896 3,500 sqft lot $41/sqft · 38% below area Est $82k · 38% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

3 Bedroom home on corner fenced lot. Open front porch, open interior staircase. Large patio. Property was built prior to 1978 lead based paint potentially exists. HUD home. FHA case #161-381560 Sold ''AS-IS'' by electronic bid only. For property condition, forms disclosures & availability visit ww. HUDHomeStore.com. HUD makes no warranty as to the condition of the property. Buyer to verify all information. Buyer's agent must be registered with HUD to submit bid. For bidding information go to www. HUDHomeStore. gov.

Key facts

  • Large patio
  • Open front porch
  • Corner fenced lot

Tags

CORNER FENCED LOTOPEN FRONT PORCHOPEN INTERIOR STAIRCASELARGE PATIO

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $51k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $306 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($890 rent vs $51k).
  • Recommended offer: $45k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#348 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F, amenities D-.
  • Fort Dodge Community School District (town): math 44% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #285 of 289 in IA (top 99%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 36 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 25 units permitted in Webster County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $353 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Webster County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 122 days — a 12% lower offer ($45k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; built in 1896 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $44,880 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 122 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1896 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.74%
Cap rate
13.49%
Cash-on-cash
25.71%
DSCR
2.14
GRM
4.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$81,659
List price
$51,000
Delta
-37.54%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1655 Elmhurst Avenue Ave 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,267 (+2%) 2mo $174,900 $138 65
1423 5th Ave N 0.42mi 3/1.0 1,320 (+6%) 5mo $14,000 $11 63
2009 6th Ave N 0.31mi 3/1.0 1,114 (-11%) 19mo $89,900 $81 48
510 14th St S 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,286 (+3%) 22mo $69,000 $54 48
802 S 22nd St 0.73mi 3/1.0 1,104 (-12%) 18mo $84,900 $77 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.4%
Equity multiple
1.79×
Total profit
$11,261
Equity at exit
$7,604
10-year hold
IRR
27.7%
Equity multiple
3.46×
Total profit
$35,061
Equity at exit
$4,410

Cash invested: $14,280 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

ZIP-level market 50501

Home prices YoY
-33.1%
Active inventory
36
Price-to-rent
4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$890 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$267
Tax from tax record
$108 /mo · $1,300/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$187
Net cashflow
$306

Break-even live

Break-even rent $503
Max offer price $51,000
Occupancy floor 61%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $335 -5% $320 +0% $306 +5% $291 +10% $277
Rent -10% $236 -5% $271 +0% $306 +5% $341 +10% $376
Rate -1.0pp $332 -0.5pp $319 base $306 +0.5pp $293 +1.0pp $279

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,750
Closing costs
$1,530
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2026 2nd Ave N Fort Dodge, IA 2.0 1.0 804 $875 $1.09 44d 1 0.11mi
1626 4th Ave S Fort Dodge, IA 2.0 1.0 960 $825 $0.86 44d 1 0.43mi
436 N 27th St Unit 436-3 Fort Dodge, IA 2.0 1.0 700 $625 $0.89 44d 1 0.60mi
1020 Central Ave Unit 1020-06 Fort Dodge, IA 2.0 1.0 900 $625 $0.69 44d 1 0.64mi
3039 Dodger Dr Unit 2905-411 Fort Dodge, IA 2.0 1.0 1035 $1,175 $1.14 44d 1 0.91mi
516 Central Ave Unit 516 Fort Dodge, IA 2.0 1.0 900 $675 $0.75 44d 1 0.98mi
741 Westridge Rd Fort Dodge, IA 2.0 1.5 880 $775 $0.88 44d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $51,000 Active 122 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $51,000 Active 120 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $51,000 Active 119 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $51,000 Active 118 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $51,000 Active 117 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $51,000 Active 116 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $51,000 Active 114 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $51,000 Active 113 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $51,000 Active 110 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $51,000 Active 109 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $51,000 Active 108 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $51,000 Active 105 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $51,000 Active 104 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $51,000 Active 103 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $51,000 Active 102 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $51,000 Active 101 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $51,000 Active 100 DOM
  18. 2026-04-28
    price $51,000 526-char remark
    Show marketing remark (526 chars)

    3 Bedroom home on corner fenced lot. Open front porch, open interior staircase. Large patio. Property was built prior to 1978 lead based paint potentially exists. HUD home. FHA case #161-381560 Sold ''AS-IS'' by electronic bid only. For property condition, forms disclosures & availability visit ww. HUDHomeStore.com. HUD makes no warranty as to the condition of the property. Buyer to verify all information. Buyer's agent must be registered with HUD to submit bid. For bidding information go to www. HUDHomeStore. gov.

  19. 2026-04-07
    price $60,000 526-char remark
    Show marketing remark (526 chars)

    3 Bedroom home on corner fenced lot. Open front porch, open interior staircase. Large patio. Property was built prior to 1978 lead based paint potentially exists. HUD home. FHA case #161-381560 Sold ''AS-IS'' by electronic bid only. For property condition, forms disclosures & availability visit ww. HUDHomeStore.com. HUD makes no warranty as to the condition of the property. Buyer to verify all information. Buyer's agent must be registered with HUD to submit bid. For bidding information go to www. HUDHomeStore. gov.

  20. 2026-02-19
    listed $75,000 Active 526-char remark
    Show marketing remark (526 chars)

    3 Bedroom home on corner fenced lot. Open front porch, open interior staircase. Large patio. Property was built prior to 1978 lead based paint potentially exists. HUD home. FHA case #161-381560 Sold ''AS-IS'' by electronic bid only. For property condition, forms disclosures & availability visit ww. HUDHomeStore.com. HUD makes no warranty as to the condition of the property. Buyer to verify all information. Buyer's agent must be registered with HUD to submit bid. For bidding information go to www. HUDHomeStore. gov.

  21. 2018-11-05
    soldstatus $63,100
  22. 2006-02-07
    soldstatus $44,000
  23. 2005-04-18
    soldstatus $23,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,300 · $108/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,300 · $108/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,678
− Mortgage interest
−$2,857
− Property taxes
−$1,300
− Insurance
−$255
− Repairs & maintenance
−$854
− Management
−$854
− Depreciation
−$1,484
Taxable income
$3,074
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$738
After-tax cash flow
$2,933/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fort Dodge Community School District
NCES district ID
1911820
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$39,807
Composite
40.54/100
National rank
#3700
State rank
#285 of 289 in IA

Livability — Fort Dodge

Score
71/100
State rank
#348
US rank
#7116

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fort Dodge, IA
County
Webster County · 28,823 people
City population
28,823
Metro
Fort Dodge, IA
Population (ZIP)
28,823
Household income
$66,888
Rent vs Own
32.4% rent · 67.6% own
Severe rent burden
673.0

Population outlook (Webster County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
35,895 people
By 2030
35,334 · -1.6%
By 2040
34,073 · -5.1%
By 2050
33,264 · -7.3%
By 2075
32,560 · -9.3%
By 2100
30,786 · -14.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 4% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 7% Slovak 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, South Korea, China
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 4% German/W. Germanic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Webster

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.2) · D 33.8% · R 65.0% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-39.7pp toward R · 2008: 8.5pp · 2024: -31.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.2 2020: R+24.3 2016: R+21.8 2012: D+5.5 2008: D+8.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -95.63%
Current HPI
193.5846
Rent YoY
Metro
Fort Dodge, IA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.48%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+121.7% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $51,000 CIBOR
  • 2026-04-07 Price Changed $60,000 CIBOR
  • 2026-02-19 Listed $75,000 CIBOR
  • 2018-11-05 Sold (Public Records) $63,100 Public Records
  • 2006-02-07 Sold (Public Records) $44,000 Public Records
  • 2005-04-18 Sold (Public Records) $23,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,300 · +5.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…