3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,000 sqft ·
Built 1973
· Manufactured
· Active
· 20 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,055/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,154
Tax + insurance
−$367
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$642
Net cashflow
$893/mo
Annual
$10,719/yr
Cap rate
11.17%
Cash-on-cash
17.40%
DSCR
1.77
1% rule
1.39%
Cash to close
$61,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $220k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $893 ($11k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $220k).
It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($217k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $217k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#465 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, health & safety A+, employment B+; Watch: schools F, crime D-, amenities F.
Salinas Union High (urban): math 23% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #998 of 1,400 in CA (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 45 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 530 units permitted in Monterey County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).
Monterey County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $62k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 2.7% in Salinas — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($98k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Moderate: kitchen cabinets
— dated and in need of replacement
Moderate: bathroom fixtures
— dated and in need of replacement
Minor: exterior siding
— slight weathering
Minor: landscaping
— bare yard with minimal landscaping
CashFlowRE · CFR-CWHHWZC29AD0EN
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29