3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,276 sqft ·
Built 1947
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 52 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,053/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,048
Tax + insurance
−$234
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$431
Net cashflow
$340/mo
Annual
$4,075/yr
Cap rate
8.33%
Cash-on-cash
7.28%
DSCR
1.32
1% rule
1.03%
Cash to close
$55,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $340 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $194k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#44 in WI, #1,073 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-.
Appleton Area School District (urban): math 33% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #224 of 342 in WI (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Jefferson Elementary (math 27% / reading 22%, grade F, #783 of 1,041 statewide, top 79%, 273 students, 65% FRL); Wilson Middle (math 14% / reading 24%, grade F, #354 of 383 statewide, top 93%, 364 students, 62% FRL); West High (math 19% / reading 27%, grade F, #343 of 483 statewide, top 72%, 1,157 students, 53% FRL) — zoned schools average 60% FRL vs 32% district-wide (28 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 22% at this address vs 34% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Appleton Area School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.8%/yr); 54 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 460 units permitted in Outagamie County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).
Outagamie County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $93k; list at $200k implies a 115% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.8% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 4.0% in Appleton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-CX1MFK26TSHK2W
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29