9 bd · 8.1 ba ·
5,064 sqft ·
Built 1969
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 187 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$8,377/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$6,555
Tax + insurance
−$1,691
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,759
Net cashflow
$-1,628/mo
Annual
$-19,539/yr
Cap rate
4.73%
Cash-on-cash
-5.58%
DSCR
0.75
1% rule
0.67%
Cash to close
$350,000
Investor read
This is a 3 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $1.25M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-20k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-543/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $962k (23.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $838k (33.0% below list).
It's been on market 187 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.10M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $838k (33.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $9k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $38k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#166 in WA, #4,033 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Seattle Public Schools (urban): math 64% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #19 of 291 in WA (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 208 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $400k (24%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $615k; list at $1.25M implies a 103% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 1.6% in Seattle — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $8,377/mo this rent would consume 101% of the median local household income ($100k/yr) (locally 2720% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 187 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
CashFlowRE · CFR-CX2PD32SFXN62V
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29