15 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,322 sqft ·
Built 1936
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 40 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$6,635/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,120
Tax + insurance
−$1,119
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,393
Net cashflow
$1,002/mo
Annual
$12,024/yr
Cap rate
8.31%
Cash-on-cash
7.22%
DSCR
1.32
1% rule
1.12%
Cash to close
$166,600
Investor read
This is a 3 × 3-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $595k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive. Per door: $334/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $595k).
It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($577k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $577k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $18k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1936 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.6%/yr); 458 active listings in the ZIP; 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
8 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 2.6% in St. Petersburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $6,635/mo this rent would consume 114% of the median local household income ($70k/yr) (locally 1371% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1936 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-CY01PYACCQCAP3
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29