4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,680 sqft ·
Built 1972
· Townhouse
· Active
· 17 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,887/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,521
Tax + insurance
−$568
HOA
−$268
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$606
Net cashflow
$-76/mo
Annual
$-910/yr
Cap rate
5.98%
Cash-on-cash
-1.12%
DSCR
0.95
1% rule
1.00%
Cash to close
$81,200
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $290k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-76 ($-910/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $277k (4.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $289k (0.4% below list).
It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($286k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $277k (4.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#150 in IL, #2,740 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F.
Lake Park Chsd 108 (suburban): math 37% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #128 of 620 in IL (top 21%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Greenbrook Elem School (math 12% / reading 13%, grade F, #1,368 of 2,056 statewide, top 67%, 428 students, 0% FRL); Spring Wood Middle School (math 12% / reading 20%, grade F, #488 of 665 statewide, top 74%, 450 students, 0% FRL); Lake Park High School (math 37% / reading 43%, grade F, #85 of 693 statewide, top 12%, 2,560 students, 0% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 23% at this address vs 40% district-wide (-17 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Lake Park Chsd 108 average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: 59 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,378 units permitted in DuPage County in 2024 (594 in 5+ unit buildings).
Current owner paid $175k; list at $290k implies a 66% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 4.5% in Hanover Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($92k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-CYHQA0E2BSB4BG
· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29