1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
750 sqft ·
Built 1955
· Townhouse
· Active
· 370 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,740/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$393
Tax + insurance
−$125
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$575
Net cashflow
$1,646/mo
Annual
$19,756/yr
Cap rate
32.63%
Cash-on-cash
94.07%
DSCR
5.19
1% rule
3.65%
Cash to close
$21,000
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $75k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($20k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $75k).
It's been on market 370 days — a 12% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $66k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#315 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, health & safety A; Watch: amenities D, cost of living F.
Port Chester-Rye Union Free School District (suburban): math 44% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #428 of 590 in NY (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Thomas A Edison School (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #1,277 of 2,108 statewide, top 64%, 377 students, 83% FRL); Port Chester Middle School (math 20% / reading 43%, grade F, #522 of 729 statewide, top 73%, 971 students, 75% FRL); Port Chester Senior High School (math 88% / reading 92%, grade A+, #238 of 1,100 statewide, top 23%, 1,555 students, 73% FRL) — zoned schools average 77% FRL vs 57% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.7%/yr); 225 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 63d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 70% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (40%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 55% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 32.6% vs local median 4.4% in Port Chester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($106k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 370 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Kitchen cabinets
— Visible wear
Minor: Bathroom fixtures
— Visible wear
Minor: Paint
— Visible wear
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· Data 3 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29