3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,916 sqft ·
Built 1969
· Condo
· Active
· 149 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$7,008/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,195
Tax + insurance
−$1,333
HOA
−$3,254
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,472
Net cashflow
$-3,247/mo
Annual
$-38,960/yr
Cap rate
1.42%
Cash-on-cash
-17.39%
DSCR
0.23
1% rule
0.88%
Cash to close
$224,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath condo listed at $800k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-3k ($-39k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $330k (58.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $701k (12.4% below list).
It's been on market 149 days — a 12% lower offer ($704k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $330k (58.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $24k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#192 in FL, #3,070 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, health & safety A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities D, cost of living F.
Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Boca Raton Elementary School (math 47% / reading 52%, grade D, #1,088 of 2,144 statewide, top 53%, 365 students, 62% FRL); Boca Raton Community Middle School (math 59% / reading 61%, grade B, #135 of 571 statewide, top 24%, 1,225 students, 41% FRL); West Boca Raton High School (math 55% / reading 70%, grade B-, #93 of 667 statewide, top 14%, 2,271 students, 28% FRL).
Watch-outs: HOA is 46% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 638 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 63d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $400k; list at $800k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 1.4% vs local median 3.3% in Boca Raton — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
At $7,008/mo this rent would consume 79% of the median local household income ($107k/yr) (locally 15% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 149 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 59% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
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· Data 13 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29