4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,680 sqft ·
Built 2001
· Manufactured
· Active
· 35 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,403/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$420
Tax + insurance
−$76
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$295
Net cashflow
$613/mo
Annual
$7,361/yr
Cap rate
15.49%
Cash-on-cash
32.86%
DSCR
2.46
1% rule
1.75%
Cash to close
$22,400
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $80k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $613 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $78k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#20 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Sheridan School District (town): math 36% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #89 of 238 in AR (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 137 active listings in the ZIP; 28 units permitted in Grant County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Grant County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 15.5% vs local median 4.0% in White Hall — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-D00Z05AYD6M29K
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29