3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,800 sqft ·
Built 2005
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 392 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,100/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,015
Tax + insurance
−$641
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$441
Net cashflow
$-997/mo
Annual
$-11,963/yr
Cap rate
3.18%
Cash-on-cash
-11.12%
DSCR
0.51
1% rule
0.55%
Cash to close
$107,609
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $60k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-997 ($-12k/yr) — negative.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $60k).
It's been on market 392 days — a 12% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $53k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $41k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $38k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 87/100 on livability (#50 in PA, #283 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D.
North Pocono SD (rural): math 45% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #82 of 539 in PA (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Moscow El Sch (math 62% / reading 82%, grade A-, #123 of 1,518 statewide, top 9%, 591 students, 43% FRL); North Pocono Ms (math 25% / reading 69%, grade D+, #163 of 512 statewide, top 33%, 665 students, 36% FRL); North Pocono Hs (math 72%, 905 students, 33% FRL).
Watch-outs: property tax is 9.6% of price.
Market conditions: 97 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 251 units permitted in Lackawanna County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lackawanna County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $300k (83%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$66k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 392 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Fencing
— Fencing is damaged and leaning, requiring structural repairs.
Major: Trees
— Trees are overgrown and branches are falling, posing safety hazards and requiring trimming.
Minor: Kitchen cabinets
— Cabinets are outdated but not structurally damaged.
Minor: Bathroom fixtures
— Fixtures are dated but functional.
Minor: Kitchen flooring
— Flooring is outdated but structurally sound.
Minor: Bathroom flooring
— Flooring is outdated but structurally sound.
CashFlowRE · CFR-D0TX4X54S2CNTA
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29