2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,838 sqft ·
Built 2006
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 33 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,554/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,180
Tax + insurance
−$434
HOA
−$65
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$536
Net cashflow
$340/mo
Annual
$4,074/yr
Cap rate
8.10%
Cash-on-cash
6.47%
DSCR
1.29
1% rule
1.14%
Cash to close
$63,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $225k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $340 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $225k).
It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($218k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $218k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#395 in PA, #3,601 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Easton Area SD (suburban): math 31% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #364 of 539 in PA (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Shawnee El Sch (math 58% / reading 65%, grade B, #360 of 1,518 statewide, top 24%, 602 students, 100% FRL); Easton Area Ms (math 16% / reading 43%, grade F, #385 of 512 statewide, top 76%, 1,874 students, 100% FRL); Easton Area Hs (math 49% / reading 44%, grade D-, #173 of 437 statewide, top 40%, 2,844 students, 92% FRL) — zoned schools average 97% FRL vs 40% district-wide (58 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 153 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 567 units permitted in Northampton County in 2024 (151 in 5+ unit buildings).
6 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 2.5% in Tatamy — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-D1XN24BKW6TYP5
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29