3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
936 sqft ·
Built 1963
· Other
· Active
· 19 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$966/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$519
Tax + insurance
−$130
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$203
Net cashflow
$114/mo
Annual
$1,373/yr
Cap rate
7.68%
Cash-on-cash
4.95%
DSCR
1.22
1% rule
0.98%
Cash to close
$27,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $99k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $114 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $97k (2.4% below list).
It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $97k (2.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($684 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#649 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Pleasant Hill CUSD 3 (rural): math 6% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #821 of 919 in IL (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Pleasant Hill Elem School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #1,673 of 2,056 statewide, top 84%, 278 students, 0% FRL); Pleasant Hill High School (math 5% / reading 5%, grade F, #614 of 693 statewide, top 95%, 98 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 40% district-wide (40 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 20 units permitted in Pike County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pike County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (2.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-D2KYXP2P2BHJ5F
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29