3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,680 sqft ·
Built 1981
· Manufactured
· Active
· 73 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,875/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$367
Tax + insurance
−$117
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$394
Net cashflow
$997/mo
Annual
$11,969/yr
Cap rate
23.39%
Cash-on-cash
61.07%
DSCR
3.72
1% rule
2.68%
Cash to close
$19,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $70k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $997 ($12k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).
It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $66k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#40 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, crime A, cost of living A; Watch: commute F, housing F.
Page Unified District (4196) (town): math 11% / reading 14% proficiency, ranked #219 of 249 in AZ (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 698 units permitted in Coconino County in 2024 (354 in 5+ unit buildings).
Coconino County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 5→11/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Moderate: Exterior siding
— Weathered and in need of repainting or replacement.
Minor: Landscaping
— Sparse and could benefit from some greenery and shrubs.
Minor: Paint
— Slightly faded in some areas, could be refreshed with a fresh coat.
CashFlowRE · CFR-D2XBETBMQR108X
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29