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34 Bonita St #34
C Composite 59.41
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$70,000

34 Bonita St #34 · Page, AZ 86040
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,680 sqft · Manufactured · 71 Days on market
Built 1981 Fair condition $42/sqft · 17% above area Est $60k · 17% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath double-wide home located in the desirable Lake Powell Mobile Home Park, offered at an attractive price. This spacious layout provides a comfortable living area, a functional kitchen, and a split-bedroom floor plan that offers privacy and flexibility. This home has great bones and presents a wonderful opportunity for buyers looking to add their own personal touch. With a little vision and updating, you can truly make this space your own and bring out its full potential. Whether you're an investor or a homeowner ready to customize, this property is full of possibilities. Enjoy the community atmosphere of Lake Powell Mobile Home Park, with convenient access to nearby shopping, dining, and outdoor recreation. Affordable living with room to grow--don't miss your chance to transform this home into something special!

Key facts

  • Functional kitchen
  • Double-wide home
  • Convenient access

Tags

DOUBLE-WIDE HOMELAKE POWELL MOBILE HOME PARKFUNCTIONAL KITCHENSPLIT-BEDROOM FLOOR PLANCONVENIENT ACCESS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $70k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $997 ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $66k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#40 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, crime A, cost of living A; Watch: commute F, housing F.
  • Page Unified District (4196) (town): math 11% / reading 14% proficiency, ranked #219 of 249 in AZ (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 698 units permitted in Coconino County in 2024 (354 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Coconino County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 5→11/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $65,800 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.68%
Cap rate
23.39%
Cash-on-cash
61.07%
DSCR
3.72
GRM
3.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$60,000
List price
$70,000
Delta
16.67%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
41 W Jerome St 0.18mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,680 (0%) 2mo $60,000 $36 85

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
59.9%
Equity multiple
3.66×
Total profit
$52,213
Equity at exit
$10,437
10-year hold
IRR
64.6%
Equity multiple
7.50×
Total profit
$127,384
Equity at exit
$6,052

Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 86040

Home prices YoY
-11.9%
Active inventory
41
Price-to-rent
3.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,875 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax est. 1.5%
$88 /mo · $1,050/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$394
Net cashflow
$997

Break-even live

Break-even rent $612
Max offer price $70,000
Occupancy floor 42%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,046 -5% $1,022 +0% $997 +5% $973 +10% $949
Rent -10% $849 -5% $923 +0% $997 +5% $1,072 +10% $1,146
Rate -1.0pp $1,033 -0.5pp $1,015 base $997 +0.5pp $979 +1.0pp $961

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,500
Closing costs
$2,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $70,000 Active 71 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $70,000 Active 70 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $70,000 Active 69 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $70,000 Active 68 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $70,000 Active 67 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $70,000 Active 65 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $70,000 Active 64 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $70,000 Active 61 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $70,000 Active 60 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $70,000 Active 59 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $70,000 Active 58 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $70,000 Active 55 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $70,000 Active 54 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $70,000 Active 53 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $70,000 Active 52 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $70,000 Active 51 DOM
  17. 2026-04-09
    listed $70,000 Active 864-char remark
    Show marketing remark (864 chars)

    Welcome to this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath double-wide home located in the desirable Lake Powell Mobile Home Park, offered at an attractive price. This spacious layout provides a comfortable living area, a functional kitchen, and a split-bedroom floor plan that offers privacy and flexibility. This home has great bones and presents a wonderful opportunity for buyers looking to add their own personal touch. With a little vision and updating, you can truly make this space your own and bring out its full potential. Whether you're an investor or a homeowner ready to customize, this property is full of possibilities. Enjoy the community atmosphere of Lake Powell Mobile Home Park, with convenient access to nearby shopping, dining, and outdoor recreation. Affordable living with room to grow--don't miss your chance to transform this home into something special!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 5 d/yr ≥98°F today · 11 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,499
− Mortgage interest
−$3,921
− Property taxes
−$1,050
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,800
− Management
−$1,800
− Depreciation
−$2,036
Taxable income
$11,542
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,770
After-tax cash flow
$9,199/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 7 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This home requires moderate repairs and maintenance, including painting and landscaping, to improve its condition and value. Updates to the exterior and interior can significantly enhance its appeal and marketability.

Repairs flagged

  • Moderate Exterior siding — Weathered and in need of repainting or replacement.
  • Minor Landscaping — Sparse and could benefit from some greenery and shrubs.
  • Minor Paint — Slightly faded in some areas, could be refreshed with a fresh coat.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior siding and interior walls — Fresh paint can improve curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Adding greenery and shrubs can enhance curb appeal and increase property value.
  • Rental HVAC maintenance — A well-maintained HVAC system ensures comfort and can attract tenants.
  • Resale Kitchen and bathroom updates — Updating countertops and fixtures can make the home more appealing to potential buyers.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Exterior siding · Weathered and in need of repainting or replacement. Moderate $3,000–15,000
Landscaping · Sparse and could benefit from some greenery and shrubs. Minor $500–3,000
Paint · Slightly faded in some areas, could be refreshed with a fresh coat. Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $4,000–21,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior siding and interior walls — Fresh paint can improve curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Adding greenery and shrubs can enhance curb appeal and increase property value.
  • Rental HVAC maintenance — A well-maintained HVAC system ensures comfort and can attract tenants.
  • Resale Kitchen and bathroom updates — Updating countertops and fixtures can make the home more appealing to potential buyers.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Page Unified District (4196)
NCES district ID
0405820
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
14% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$48,872
Composite
11.58/100
National rank
#9698
State rank
#219 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Page

Score
70/100
State rank
#40
US rank
#7895

Category grades

Amenities B Commute F Cost of living A Crime A Employment C+ Housing F Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Page, AZ
Population (ZIP)
10,627

Population outlook (Coconino County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
150,645 people
By 2030
156,857 · +4.1%
By 2040
168,714 · +12.0%
By 2050
181,082 · +20.2%
By 2075
218,399 · +45.0%
By 2100
238,853 · +58.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.89)
Race & ethnicity
Native American 55% White 33% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · China, Canada, Philippines
Languages at home
73% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Coconino

2024 margin
D (+19.9) · D 59.2% · R 39.4% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+2.9pp toward D · 2008: 17.0pp · 2024: 19.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.9 2020: D+24.1 2016: D+19.4 2012: D+14.9 2008: D+17.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -35.54%
Current HPI
263.6101
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $70,000 NAZMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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