2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,360 sqft ·
Built 1990
· Condo
· Active
· 80 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,689/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,101
Tax + insurance
−$256
HOA
−$483
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$355
Net cashflow
$-506/mo
Annual
$-6,068/yr
Cap rate
3.40%
Cash-on-cash
-10.32%
DSCR
0.54
1% rule
0.80%
Cash to close
$58,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $210k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-506 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $121k (42.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $169k (19.6% below list).
It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $121k (42.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $22k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $21k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#16 in MO, #1,519 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, schools A-; Watch: amenities C-, cost of living F.
Ladue (suburban): math 64% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #2 of 324 in MO (top 1%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 9% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: HOA is 29% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-3.0%/yr); 173 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
5 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $168k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 3.4% vs local median 2.7% in Creve Coeur — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 43% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29