12 bd · 6.4 ba ·
4,982 sqft ·
Built 1890
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 88 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$11,201/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$5,239
Tax + insurance
−$1,665
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,352
Net cashflow
$1,945/mo
Annual
$23,339/yr
Cap rate
8.63%
Cash-on-cash
8.34%
DSCR
1.37
1% rule
1.12%
Cash to close
$279,720
Investor read
This is a 4 × 3-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $999k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($23k/yr) — positive. Per door: $486/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($11k rent vs $999k).
It's been on market 88 days — a 6% lower offer ($939k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $939k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $7k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $30k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#74 in MA, #4,077 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D+, crime D-.
Lynn (suburban): math 14% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #293 of 302 in MA (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 51 active listings in the ZIP; 1,032 units permitted in Essex County in 2024 (590 in 5+ unit buildings).
Essex County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 72% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 3.6% in Lynn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $11,201/mo this rent would consume 200% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 3883% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 88 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29