3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
995 sqft ·
Built 1951
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 48 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,247/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$760
Tax + insurance
−$189
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$262
Net cashflow
$35/mo
Annual
$426/yr
Cap rate
6.59%
Cash-on-cash
1.05%
DSCR
1.05
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$40,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $35 ($426/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $125k (14.0% below list).
It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $125k (14.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#117 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Chickasha (town): math 23% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #115 of 270 in OK (top 43%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Bill Wallace Ec Ctr (460 students, 0% FRL); Chickasha Hs (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #296 of 447 statewide, top 67%, 749 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 64% district-wide (64 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 203 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 224 units permitted in Grady County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Grady County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $125k; 16% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.8% in Chickasha — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-D3C3CC4AK93WSQ
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29