3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,470 sqft ·
Built 1910
· Townhouse
· Active
· 70 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,327/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$787
Tax + insurance
−$234
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$279
Net cashflow
$28/mo
Annual
$332/yr
Cap rate
6.51%
Cash-on-cash
0.79%
DSCR
1.04
1% rule
0.88%
Cash to close
$42,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $28 ($332/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $133k (11.5% below list).
It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $133k (11.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-2.1%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#872 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D-, amenities F.
Panther Valley SD (rural): math 14% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #477 of 539 in PA (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 180 units permitted in Carbon County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Carbon County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-D3ESCA3ZCHAT1J
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29