3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,224 sqft ·
Built 1945
· Other
· Pending
· 2 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,045/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$734
Tax + insurance
−$102
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$219
Net cashflow
$-10/mo
Annual
$-126/yr
Cap rate
6.20%
Cash-on-cash
-0.32%
DSCR
0.99
1% rule
0.75%
Cash to close
$39,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $140k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-10 ($-126/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $138k (1.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $104k (25.3% below list).
Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $104k (25.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($967 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#909 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
South Central CUD 401 (rural): math 12% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #506 of 620 in IL (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP.
Fayette County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-D3PKCG7G46XS88
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29