167 Wilderness Ln

Clintwood, VA 24228

$107,400C

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,121 sqft · Built 1973 · SingleFamily · Active · 120 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $984/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$563
• Tax + insurance: −$72
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$207
• Net cashflow: $142/mo
• Annual: $1,705/yr
• Cap rate: 7.88%
• Cash-on-cash: 5.67%
• DSCR: 1.25
• 1% rule: 0.92%
• Cash to close: $30,072

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $107k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $142 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $98k (8.3% below list).
• It's been on market 120 days — a 9% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $98k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• In year one you build about $5k of equity ($743 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (4.3% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 75/100 on livability (#131 in VA, #4,220 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
• Dickenson County Public School District (rural): math 59% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #58 of 131 in VA (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: 34 active listings in the ZIP; 11 units permitted in Dickenson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Dickenson County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• 5 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $19k; list at $107k implies a 465% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• At projected returns (4.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $30k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 120 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.