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167 Wilderness Ln
C Composite 59.75
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.2/10.0
  • DSCR +6.5/10.0
  • Schools +5.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$107,400

167 Wilderness Ln · Clintwood, VA 24228
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,121 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 120 Days on market
Built 1973 0.32 ac lot $96/sqft · 165% above area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Take a look at this cute cottage that boasts 3 bedroom, 2 baths, and an open concept living area. Spiral iron staircase to the downstairs where it is an open pallet for you to make it whatever you want. Natural light floods the home, also has updated kitchen and light maple floors. Come take a look! Buyers and buyers agents to verify all information , subject to errors and omissions.

Key facts

  • Light maple floors
  • Updated kitchen
  • 0.32 acre lot

Tags

OPEN CONCEPT LIVING AREASPIRAL IRON STAIRCASEUPDATED KITCHENLIGHT MAPLE FLOORS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $107k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $142 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $98k (8.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $98k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#131 in VA, #4,220 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Dickenson County Public School District (rural): math 59% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #58 of 131 in VA (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 34 active listings in the ZIP; 11 units permitted in Dickenson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($743 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (4.3% local appreciation)).
  • Dickenson County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (4.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $30k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 120 days — a 9% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $19k; list at $107k implies a 465% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $97,734 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 120 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.92%
Cap rate
7.88%
Cash-on-cash
5.67%
DSCR
1.25
GRM
9.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$40,547
List price
$107,400
Delta
164.87%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

4.31% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.1%
Equity multiple
1.98×
Total profit
$29,581
Equity at exit
$56,422
10-year hold
IRR
16.8%
Equity multiple
3.78×
Total profit
$83,660
Equity at exit
$93,890

Cash invested: $30,072 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 24228

Home prices YoY
3.2%
Active inventory
34
Price-to-rent
9.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$984 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$563
Tax from tax record
$28 /mo · $331/yr
Insurance
$45
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$207
Net cashflow
$142

Break-even live

Break-even rent $805
Max offer price $107,400
Occupancy floor 81%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,850
Closing costs
$3,222
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $107,400 Active 120 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $107,400 Active 119 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $107,400 Active 118 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $107,400 Active 117 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $107,400 Active 116 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $107,400 Active 115 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $107,400 Active 114 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $107,400 Active 111 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $107,400 Active 110 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $107,400 Active 109 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $107,400 Active 105 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $107,400 Active 104 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $107,400 Active 103 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $107,400 Active 102 DOM
  15. 2026-02-17
    listed $107,400 Active 386-char remark
    Show marketing remark (386 chars)

    Take a look at this cute cottage that boasts 3 bedroom, 2 baths, and an open concept living area. Spiral iron staircase to the downstairs where it is an open pallet for you to make it whatever you want. Natural light floods the home, also has updated kitchen and light maple floors. Come take a look! Buyers and buyers agents to verify all information , subject to errors and omissions.

  16. 2023-08-10
    soldstatus $19,000 Closed 359-char remark
    Show marketing remark (359 chars)

    This home is located in Dickenson County, VA. This home features a nice open floor plan. There are two bedrooms on main level. One bath is on the main level and the second bath is in the basement. Buyers and buyers agent to verify all information. The Health/Environmental Dept. of Dickenson County requires septic inspection before electric can be turned on.

  17. 2023-07-24
    historical Active Under Contract 359-char remark
    Show marketing remark (359 chars)

    This home is located in Dickenson County, VA. This home features a nice open floor plan. There are two bedrooms on main level. One bath is on the main level and the second bath is in the basement. Buyers and buyers agent to verify all information. The Health/Environmental Dept. of Dickenson County requires septic inspection before electric can be turned on.

  18. 2023-07-01
    status Active 359-char remark
    Show marketing remark (359 chars)

    This home is located in Dickenson County, VA. This home features a nice open floor plan. There are two bedrooms on main level. One bath is on the main level and the second bath is in the basement. Buyers and buyers agent to verify all information. The Health/Environmental Dept. of Dickenson County requires septic inspection before electric can be turned on.

  19. 2023-06-26
    historical 359-char remark
    Show marketing remark (359 chars)

    This home is located in Dickenson County, VA. This home features a nice open floor plan. There are two bedrooms on main level. One bath is on the main level and the second bath is in the basement. Buyers and buyers agent to verify all information. The Health/Environmental Dept. of Dickenson County requires septic inspection before electric can be turned on.

  20. 2023-05-26
    price $19,900 359-char remark
    Show marketing remark (359 chars)

    This home is located in Dickenson County, VA. This home features a nice open floor plan. There are two bedrooms on main level. One bath is on the main level and the second bath is in the basement. Buyers and buyers agent to verify all information. The Health/Environmental Dept. of Dickenson County requires septic inspection before electric can be turned on.

  21. 2023-05-10
    status Active 359-char remark
    Show marketing remark (359 chars)

    This home is located in Dickenson County, VA. This home features a nice open floor plan. There are two bedrooms on main level. One bath is on the main level and the second bath is in the basement. Buyers and buyers agent to verify all information. The Health/Environmental Dept. of Dickenson County requires septic inspection before electric can be turned on.

  22. 2023-04-20
    historical Active Under Contract 359-char remark
    Show marketing remark (359 chars)

    This home is located in Dickenson County, VA. This home features a nice open floor plan. There are two bedrooms on main level. One bath is on the main level and the second bath is in the basement. Buyers and buyers agent to verify all information. The Health/Environmental Dept. of Dickenson County requires septic inspection before electric can be turned on.

  23. 2023-04-14
    price $24,900 359-char remark
    Show marketing remark (359 chars)

    This home is located in Dickenson County, VA. This home features a nice open floor plan. There are two bedrooms on main level. One bath is on the main level and the second bath is in the basement. Buyers and buyers agent to verify all information. The Health/Environmental Dept. of Dickenson County requires septic inspection before electric can be turned on.

  24. 2023-04-06
    price $29,900 359-char remark
    Show marketing remark (359 chars)

    This home is located in Dickenson County, VA. This home features a nice open floor plan. There are two bedrooms on main level. One bath is on the main level and the second bath is in the basement. Buyers and buyers agent to verify all information. The Health/Environmental Dept. of Dickenson County requires septic inspection before electric can be turned on.

  25. 2023-03-27
    listed $59,900 Active 359-char remark
    Show marketing remark (359 chars)

    This home is located in Dickenson County, VA. This home features a nice open floor plan. There are two bedrooms on main level. One bath is on the main level and the second bath is in the basement. Buyers and buyers agent to verify all information. The Health/Environmental Dept. of Dickenson County requires septic inspection before electric can be turned on.

  26. 2022-10-28
    listed $40,500 Active
  27. 2004-08-29
    soldstatus $45,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$331 · $28/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$881 · $73/mo
Expected delta
+$549/yr (+$46/mo · 165.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,813
− Mortgage interest
−$6,016
− Property taxes
−$331
− Insurance
−$537
− Repairs & maintenance
−$945
− Management
−$945
− Depreciation
−$3,124
Taxable loss
−$86
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$21
After-tax cash flow
$1,726/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dickenson County Public School District
NCES district ID
5101140
Math proficiency
59% ▼ -31.00%
Reading proficiency
66% ▼ -17.00%
Median HH income
$30,649
Composite
51.28/100
National rank
#1749
State rank
#58 of 131 in VA

Livability — Clintwood

Score
75/100
State rank
#131
US rank
#4220

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A Health & safety A User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
6,336

Population outlook (Dickenson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
13,554 people
By 2030
12,680 · -6.4%
By 2040
11,016 · -18.7%
By 2050
9,562 · -29.5%
By 2075
6,712 · -50.5%
By 2100
4,554 · -66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (98%)
Race & ethnicity
White 98% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 3% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
0% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · Dickenson

2024 margin
Solid R (+62.2) · D 18.7% · R 80.9%
2008→2024 swing
-61.5pp toward R · 2008: -0.7pp · 2024: -62.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+62.2 2020: R+58.1 2016: R+56.2 2012: R+26.2 2008: R+0.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.31%
Current HPI
140.6944
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+138.7% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-17 Listed $107,400 TVRMLS
  • 2023-08-10 Sold (MLS) $19,000 TVRMLS
  • 2023-07-24 Contingent TVRMLS
  • 2023-07-01 Relisted TVRMLS
  • 2023-06-26 Delisted TVRMLS
  • 2023-05-26 Price Changed $19,900 TVRMLS
  • 2023-05-10 Relisted TVRMLS
  • 2023-04-20 Contingent TVRMLS
  • 2023-04-14 Price Changed $24,900 TVRMLS
  • 2023-04-06 Price Changed $29,900 TVRMLS
  • 2023-03-27 Listed $59,900 TVRMLS
  • 2022-10-28 Listed $40,500 SWVAR
  • 2004-08-29 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.3%/yr

Latest (2026): $331 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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