4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
2,326 sqft ·
Built 1963
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 98 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,425/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$656
Tax + insurance
−$97
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$299
Net cashflow
$373/mo
Annual
$4,480/yr
Cap rate
9.88%
Cash-on-cash
12.80%
DSCR
1.57
1% rule
1.14%
Cash to close
$35,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $373 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
It's been on market 98 days — a 9% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $114k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 57/100 on livability (#375 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
Macon County (town): math 2% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #123 of 129 in AL (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 97% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Macon County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Macon County population projected at -42% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (2.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 7.3% in Tuskegee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 98 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-D58F4V21SW9HRR
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29