3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,250 sqft ·
Built 1967
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 44 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,938/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,239
Tax + insurance
−$249
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$407
Net cashflow
$43/mo
Annual
$514/yr
Cap rate
6.51%
Cash-on-cash
0.78%
DSCR
1.03
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$66,150
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $236k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $43 ($514/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $194k (18.0% below list).
It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($229k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $194k (18.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#10 in NC, #1,028 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
Wake County Schools (suburban): math 52% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #35 of 178 in NC (top 20%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: North Ridge Elementary (math 45% / reading 53%, grade D, #459 of 1,410 statewide, top 33%, 708 students, 40% FRL); West Millbrook Middle (math 43% / reading 54%, grade C-, #127 of 475 statewide, top 28%, 1,046 students, 40% FRL); Enloe High (math 64% / reading 75%, grade B, #121 of 535 statewide, top 24%, 2,502 students, 27% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents flat; 594 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15,249 units permitted in Wake County in 2024 (5,568 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wake County population projected at +51% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask is 18% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $62k; list at $236k implies a 281% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 61% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 2.7% in Raleigh — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-D6E53X2H2VCX5B
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29